Hello everybody, today I'm going to share with you some my thoughts about the theory of complexity.
Previously I thought there is a law or an equation what is able to describe the most of events and regularities in our life.
In school I heard that physics can't solve a problem with three subjects because they influence each other. That same time I heard an idea that a little change of variable possibly entails a huge change of function. Alan Turing called this "The Butterfly Effect". Some time I was really frustrated by the uncertainty of the future.
Starting studying social science, I taught that approximate productions, based on past experience could be really accurate. Because all unknown and unpredictable factors are considered.
I have my own opinion on this issue. I think functions in social sciences are like Taylor series in Calculus. You can always some variable to make your model more close to reality. Only one problem is complexity of solving big equations. But, this is not a problem in our century when computers can caltulate almost everything. The only point which can not be involved in model is completely unexpected decisions in completely unexpected situations, in very strenge conditions. This unpredictability is a realy big problem.
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